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Avtometriya

2007 year, number 5

Predictability Time Limit of Autoregressive Processes

S. N. Moiseev
Voronezh State University, Voronezh, RussiaE-mail: smoiseev@kodofon.vrn.ru
Pages: 400-407

Abstract

It is shown that for the p-order autoregressive process, in the case of using a prediction optimized for minimum root-mean-square error, and the known autoregressive coefficients, the predictability time can exceed the correlation time by a factor of p for the best combination of autoregressive coefficients.