ASPECTS OF SOCIAL CAPACITY OF SPACE AND THEIR IMPACT ON POPULATION DYNAMICS IN ARCTIC REGIONS
A.D. Volkov
V.A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Keywords: Russian Arctic, Arctic municipalities, social capacity of space, healthcare, education, working conditions, population growth rate, DEA analysis
Abstract
The article considers aspects of social capacity of space in reproduction of human capital of the Arctic regions of Russia. The comparison of population assessments of the state of health care, education, culture and leisure, as well as working conditions and population growth rates in 32 municipalities of the European part of the Russian Arctic is carried out. The purpose of the study is to identify areas of priority transformations in these areas necessary to overcome depopulation trends at the municipal level. The factual basis is presented by the results of a survey of the population of 32 municipalities of the European part of the Russian Arctic (n=4871). The population growth rate is adopted as an indicator reflecting the resulting social conditions of human capital reproduction. A system analysis of the relationships between the parameters was implemented using the DEA analysis technique. When constructing a model aimed at maximizing the population growth rate (output parameter), eight territories were identified in which the ratio of the parameters under consideration is optimal under the existing restrictions (Arkhangelsk Urban District, Usinsk Municipal District, Kostomuksha Municipal District, etc.). For the remaining territories, priority transformation areas have been established in the areas of healthcare, education, culture and leisure, as well as working conditions to mitigate or overcome depopulation trends. In the area of working conditions, a critically important area is promoting an increase in wages, as well as ensuring the sustainable functioning and favorable prospects of city-forming enterprises, promoting the diversification of the local economy. The practical significance of the study lies in determining the priorities for regulating socio-economic processes in Arctic municipalities to mitigate or overcome depopulation trends.
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